Adrián Castellanos
World Affairs Editor
Adrián covers geopolitics, trade and energy and the way decisions in Washington, Brussels, Beijing and the Gulf ripple through global markets.
Articles by Adrián Castellanos
World
IMF holds 2026 global growth at 3.1% as energy shock and AI boom diverge
The Fund's October World Economic Outlook, released in Bangkok on 13 October, keeps world growth at 3.1% this year and 3.4% in 2027, with global inflation seen rising to 4.7% before easing.
World
WTO doubles 2026 goods trade forecast to 3.9% as AI hardware offsets Gulf losses
The World Trade Organization's 8 October outlook lifts merchandise trade growth to 3.9% from 1.9%, with AI-enabling goods accounting for 47% of first-half growth, while services trade is cut to 3.3%.
World
Seven OPEC+ producers hold November output steady at 31.01 million barrels a day
Saudi Arabia, Russia and five partners agreed at a 4 October virtual meeting to keep September's quotas in place for a second month, with actual supply still lagging targets amid Hormuz disruption.